Can Trump Bring Lasting Peace to Ukraine?

Can Trump Bring Lasting Peace to Ukraine?
  • calendar_today August 8, 2025
  • News

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President Donald Trump is once again billing himself as a global dealmaker, touting Monday that he has already ended six wars while in the second term of his presidency. The assertion came during a White House meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and a group of European leaders, during which Trump also made clear he believes he is on the verge of ending the war in Ukraine.

“I’ve done six wars — I’ve ended six wars,” Trump said, before noting his interventions took place in the Middle East, Africa and parts of Asia. “Look, India-Pakistan, we’re talking about big places. You just take a look at some of these wars. You go to Africa and take a look at them.”

The White House issued a statement earlier this month crowing that Trump was the “President of Peace” after agreements or diplomatic gestures between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Cambodia and Thailand, Israel and Iran, Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Egypt and Ethiopia, and Serbia and Kosovo. It also took aim at some of the diplomacy from his first term, including the Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab states.

For Trump, the messaging is as important as the actual diplomacy. His critics say the victories are overstated or temporary, but his team is clearly laying the groundwork for a record that could underpin his decades-long bid to win the Nobel Peace Prize.

Foreign policy experts say Trump’s victories are not always permanent solutions. The agreements are often fragile ceasefires in place of lasting peace treaties. The most notable case was his claim he brokered peace between Israel and Iran. After a short but intense 12-day conflict, Trump claimed victory. The reality is the truce is informal and tensions remain high over Tehran’s nuclear program.

Trump also has not been immune from reversals. His attempt to broker peace between Israel and the militant group Hamas collapsed in the face of a new round of rocket attacks in the Gaza Strip, and his public wooing of North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un during his first term failed to stop Pyongyang from expanding its nuclear arsenal.

One of Trump’s latest victories was a declaration of peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan. The agreement, which was signed at the White House earlier this month, requires both nations to recognize each other’s borders and renounce violence. It also included a U.S.-backed transportation corridor between the two nations dubbed the “Trump Route for Peace and Prosperity.”

Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev heralded the deal and declared, “President Trump, in six months, did a miracle.” But analysts are skeptical of what’s been accomplished, noting that major constitutional and territorial issues remain at the heart of the conflict and have not been resolved.

Pressure Diplomacy in Southeast Asia and South Asia

Trump last month successfully leveraged trade deals with both Cambodia and Thailand to end a border clash that killed at least 38 people. His blunt use of leverage, along with efforts from the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN), ended the violence. The Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Manet even nominated Trump for the Nobel Prize, calling it “extraordinary statesmanship.”

In a similar instance, Trump also pressed in on a flare-up between India and Pakistan in May in the contested border region that has already seen three wars over Kashmir. Pakistan welcomed the U.S. intervention, but India rejected any notion that Washington was acting as a mediator. The agreement is also fragile and does not address the underlying territorial dispute.

Trump also trumpeted a deal between Rwanda and the Democratic Republic of the Congo aimed at recognizing the border between the two nations and disarming militia groups. But the M23 rebel movement at the heart of the conflict in DRC has rejected the deal, and many see the move as an attempt to beat China to the punch in securing African mineral resources.

The president’s mention of Egypt and Ethiopia refers to their long-running dispute over a massive dam project on the Nile River. Trump has tried to push for compromise, but a binding agreement has not been reached.

The White House also points to Trump’s role earlier in his first term in encouraging economic normalization between Serbia and Kosovo, but the two countries remain diplomatically at odds, and much of the recent progress has come at the urging of the European Union.

Trump’s insistence that he is ending wars with his personal involvement shows both his unusual approach to diplomacy and his penchant to overstate results. His critics say his efforts to reduce the size of the State Department and the U.S. Agency for International Development undercut his ability to turn ceasefires into permanent peace.

Nonetheless, even skeptics of Trump’s methods say his hands-on approach has at times produced some results. “The ones that were helpful, especially India-Pakistan, were conducted in a professional way, quietly, diplomatically and above all working behind the scenes … laying the ground and finding common ground between the parties,” said Celeste Wallander, a former Pentagon official who is now with the Center for a New American Security.

Whether Trump’s latest efforts, particularly on Ukraine, will prove durable is still up in the air. His record so far shows a mix of bold intervention, heavy branding and unfinished business, leaving open the question of whether his legacy will be one of real peace or fleeting political victories.